Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1241.501460 1420.515952 1623.073230 1870.614886 2166.821218 2512.198392 2948.777253
2025-05-25 985.266621 1218.471784 1509.697785 1905.826725 2439.627599 3147.416452 4180.185350
2025-06-01 833.620494 1084.288265 1418.388023 1907.363889 2624.257123 3669.636801 5374.901764
2025-06-08 727.850718 983.859463 1342.681046 1899.200473 2773.121436 4153.541035 6635.991045
2025-06-15 662.656950 926.141184 1312.087716 1942.575108 2996.975308 4792.847831 8345.414674
2025-06-22 585.507580 839.075382 1223.104007 1876.058625 3023.425184 5099.968598 9546.923025
2025-06-29 525.051863 769.042246 1149.550652 1819.969506 3052.000073 5410.516890 10857.341187
2025-07-06 472.817004 705.591990 1077.884616 1754.514686 3048.270787 5653.646305 12106.703410
2025-07-13 452.423763 690.344429 1082.548144 1822.749642 3309.018303 6499.158382 15151.022926
2025-07-20 426.892473 663.711592 1064.242266 1845.052472 3481.322544 7199.145721 18161.587114
2025-07-27 406.570844 643.625696 1054.639052 1881.737903 3690.319958 8044.223897 22058.045831
2025-08-03 386.716273 622.311839 1040.171513 1906.089549 3876.598883 8890.082252 26485.751358
2025-08-10 373.969587 613.237052 1048.885072 1983.179739 4212.404382 10277.866463 34013.125043
2025-08-17 357.109098 595.314946 1039.157739 2020.573864 4464.807839 11541.835476 42294.865835
2025-08-24 337.993349 571.411761 1015.018783 2022.216261 4626.892614 12600.736121 50797.486842
2025-08-31 319.712209 547.446945 988.140205 2013.438083 4759.822910 13625.764699 60379.475614
2025-09-07 308.448445 535.866374 985.107409 2060.085471 5060.220610 15377.662313 76662.928154
2025-09-14 287.474796 503.729054 936.179983 1988.557783 4999.640521 15767.026253 84782.003184
2025-09-21 269.344178 475.914264 893.966872 1928.277707 4961.569054 16242.325456 94460.508327
2025-09-28 251.908419 448.318195 849.935495 1857.973260 4878.797216 16511.281527 103161.029292
2025-10-05 247.259480 446.126363 860.897512 1931.264815 5277.171031 19085.646810 138380.278621
2025-10-12 239.107110 436.136085 853.601606 1955.230891 5519.313277 21101.821915 174364.693172
2025-10-19 232.561058 428.983921 852.016063 1994.663197 5828.375121 23667.843424 226934.599387